Price-to-Sales (P/S)

For informational and educational purposes only • Not investment advice.

Apple

iPhone, services, devices

Estimated Fair Value

$205.99

Stock price: $333.69

Fair value below stock price

This model estimates a company's fair value by applying its historical Price-to-Sales multiple to revenue.

Historical P/S Ratios

This chart shows the company's historical Price-to-Sales ratio by year.

2016: 2.7x P/S2.7x20162017: 3.6x P/S3.6x20172018: 2.7x P/S2.7x20182019: 4.9x P/S4.9x20192020: 8.0x P/S8.0x20202021: 7.8x P/S7.8x20212022: 5.2x P/S5.2x20222023: 7.8x P/S7.8x20232024: 9.7x P/S9.7x20242025: 9.7x P/S9.7x2025

Key Valuation Metrics

Selected P/S Multiple

Notes

• The current Price-to-Sales (P/S) ratio is meaningfully above the company's historical P/S multiple, indicating the stock is trading at a higher valuation relative to its historical revenue.
• The historical Price-to-Sales range is wide, meaning the valuation is sensitive to which historical multiple is used.

What is Price-to-Sales (P/S) Valuation?

Price-to-Sales (P/S) Valuation estimates a company's Fair Value based on its Revenue and the P/S multiple applied to that Revenue.

The P/S ratio compares a company's Market Capitalization with its Revenue. It shows how much investors are willing to pay for each unit of Revenue generated by the company.

Historical P/S ratios show the valuation multiples at which the company has traded in the past. They can be used as a reference for estimating Fair Value from the company's Revenue.

P/S Valuation can be useful for companies with negative or volatile earnings, but it does not directly account for profitability, margins or operating efficiency.

How the P/S Model Works

The Price-to-Sales model estimates fair value by calculating the company's historical P/S multiples, selecting a valuation P/S, and applying it to current Revenue to estimate Fair Value per Share.

Historical Revenue & Share Prices
→
Calculate Historical P/S
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Select Valuation P/S
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Apply to Current Revenue
→
Fair Value per Share

P/S Formula

P/S Ratio=Market CapitalizationRevenue \text{P/S Ratio} = \frac{ \text{Market Capitalization} }{ \text{Revenue} }

Key Model Assumptions

• The company must have positive current Revenue.
• Current Revenue is based on trailing twelve-month (TTM) results when four consecutive quarterly periods are available; otherwise, the latest annual revenue is used.
• Historical P/S ratios are calculated only for years with valid positive Revenue and market data.
• The 10 most recent valid historical P/S ratios are used to estimate the company's typical valuation multiple.
• The historical median P/S forms the Base valuation assumption.
• Conservative and optimistic scenarios adjust the historical median P/S.
• Historical P/S multiples may not remain representative if the company's growth, margins or profitability change materially.

Step 1 — Calculate Historical P/S Ratios

Historical Market Cap = Year-End Share Price × Historical Shares Outstanding
Historical P/S = Historical Market Cap / Historical Revenue
Historical Median P/S = Median of the 10 most recent valid historical P/S ratios
Historical Median P/S =
6.48x

The model calculates historical Market Capitalization and historical P/S ratios. The median of the 10 most recent valid P/S ratios is then used as Apple's historical valuation benchmark. The resulting median P/S is 6.48x.

Step 2 — Select the Valuation Multiple

Selected P/S = Historical Median P/S × Scenario Adjustment (Base)
Selected P/S = 6.48x × 100% = 6.48x

The selected scenario adjusts the historical median P/S to determine the valuation multiple used to estimate Fair Value. Under the base scenario, the model uses a P/S multiple of 6.48x.

Step 3 — Estimate Fair Value per Share

Fair Market Cap = Revenue × Selected P/S
Fair Market Cap = $466.8B × 6.48x = $3025.5B
Fair Value per Share = Fair Market Cap / Shares Outstanding
Fair Value per Share = $3025.5B / 14.69B = $205.99

The selected P/S multiple is applied to Apple's Revenue of $466.8B to estimate a Fair Market Capitalization of $3025.5B. Dividing this value by Shares Outstanding produces an estimated Fair Value per Share of $205.99.

Step 4 — Compare With the Current Market Valuation

Current P/S = Current Market Cap / Current Revenue
Current P/S = $4901.0B / $466.8B = 10.50x
Valuation Gap = Fair Value per Share / Current Price − 1
Valuation Gap = $205.99 / $333.69 − 1 = -38.3%

Current P/S shows the multiple currently assigned to Apple's Revenue. The stock currently trades at 10.50x compared with a historical median of 6.48x.

The Valuation Gap compares the estimated Fair Value with the current stock price of $333.69. Under the current assumptions, the Valuation Gap is -38.3%.